Problem:
The
Azad Int Ltd. is contemplating to invest in a new project that would require
procurement of a machine costing Tk.25,50,000; and a working capital of
Tk.1,00,000. The project is expected provide benefits for five years. The
expected profit before depreciation and tax from the project is as below:
Year
|
Profit before
Tax and Depreciation
|
1st
year
|
8,50,000
|
2nd
year
|
7,00,000
|
3rd
year
|
6,50,000
|
4th
year
|
6,00,000
|
5th
year
|
4,50,000
|
(The policy of the company is to depreciate
fixed assets on straight line basis over the period of the asset. Salvage value
of the machine is expected to be Tk.50,000. Assume a 40% tax rate and cost of
capital of 10%)
Required:
Determine the acceptability of the project on the basis of (i) Payback period;
(ii) ARR; (iii) NPV; (iv) IRR; (v) Profitability Index.
(The
present values of Tk1 for five years at 10% are 0.9091; 0.8264; 0.7513; 0.6830;
0.6209)
Solution:
Depreciation
= Cost – Salvage value/No. of year in lifetime = 25,50,000 – (50,000/5) = 5,00,000.
Total
Investment = 25,50,000 (Machine price) + 1,00,000 (Working capital) =
26,50,000.
Statement of
cash inflow:
Particulars
|
1st
year
|
2nd
year
|
3rd
year
|
4th
year
|
5th
year
|
Profit
before Tax & Depreciation
Less
Depreciation
|
8,50,000
5,00,000
|
7,00,000
5,00,000
|
6,50,000
5,00,000
|
6,00,000
5,00,000
|
4,50,000
5,00,000
|
Profit
before Tax
Less
Tax @40%
|
3,50,000
1,40,000
|
2,00,000
80,000
|
1,50,000
60,000
|
1,00,000
40,000
|
(50,000)
-
|
Profit
after Tax
Add
depreciation
|
2,10,000
5,00,000
|
1,20,000
5,00,000
|
90,000
5,00,000
|
60,000
5,00,000
|
(50,000)
5,00,000
|
Cash
before Terminal cash inflow
Add
Salvage value at 5th year
Add
working Capital
|
7,10,000
-
-
|
6,20,000
-
-
|
5,90,000
-
-
|
5,60,000
-
-
|
4,50,000
50,000
1,00,000
|
|
7,10,000
|
6,20,000
|
5,90,000
|
5,60,000
|
6,00,000
|
Required 1: (Pay
Back Period (PBP)):
Year
|
Cash inflow
|
Cumulative
cash inflow
|
1
|
7,10,000
|
7,10,000
|
2
|
6,20,000
|
13,30,000
|
3
|
5,90,000
|
19,20,000
|
4
|
5,60,000
|
24,80,000
|
5
|
6,00,000
|
30,80,000
|
PBP = 4 + (Total
investment – 4th year cumulative cash inflow)/5th year
cash inflow
=
4 + (26,50,000 – 24,80,000)/6,00,000 = 4.28 years
Required 2:
Average rate of return:
ARR=
(Average annual profit / Average investment)*100
=[{(2,10,000+1,20,000+90,000+60,000-50,000)/5}/(26,50,000+50,000)/2]*100=(86,000/13,50,000)*100
=
6.37%
Required 3: Net
Present Value (NPV) calculation:
Year
|
Cash flow
|
Discount
factor@10%
|
Present value
|
1
|
7,10,000
|
0.9091
|
6,45,467
|
2
|
6,20,000
|
0.8264
|
5,12,368
|
3
|
5,90,000
|
0.7513
|
4,43,267
|
4
|
5,60,000
|
0.6830
|
3,82,480
|
5
|
6,00,000
|
0.6209
|
3,72,540
|
Present
Value of cash
Less,
investment
|
=23,56,116
=(26,50,000)
|
||
Net
Present Value (NPV)
|
(293884)
|
Required 4:
Internal Rate of Return (IRR):
Since
the NPV at 10% discounting rate is negative; Let us take lower discounting rate
5%
Therefore,
Present Value = {7,10,000/(1+0.05)+(620000)/(1+0.05)
+5,90,000/(1+0.05)
+5,60,000/(1+0.05)
+6,00,000/(1+0.05) } – 26,50,000 (total investment)
=
(6,76,190.48 + 5,62,358.28 + 5,09,664.18 + 4,60,713.39 + 4,70,115.70) -
26,50,000 (total investment)
=
26,77,488 – 26,50,000 (total investment)
=
27,488.
IRR=
A+C/C-D(B-A)
=5%
+27,488/27,488-(-2,93,884)*(10%-5%)
=5% + 27,488/321372 * 5%
=5% +0.0855*5%
=0.05+0.0042 = 0.0542 =
5.42%
|
Here,
A=
Lower discounting rate
B=
Higher discounting rate
C=NPV
of lower discounting rate
D=
NPV of higher discounting rate
|
Required 5: Calculation of Profitability Index (PI)
PI = PV of cash
inflow/PV of investment cost
=
23,56,116/26,50,000 = 0.889 = 0.89 (Approximated)
Ans:
i)
Pay
Back Period 4.28 years
ii)
ARR
= 6.37%
iii)
NPV
= (-2,93,884)
iv)
PI
= 0.89
Comments:
Out of 5 years
project life, the investment will return within 4.28 years, ARR is 6.37% which
is lower than cost of capital, PI is less than 1 and NPV value negative, So the
project is not acceptable.
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